Thursday, December 18, 2008
Duro-Last Announces Promotions
Thursday, December 11, 2008
BUILDER CONFIDENCE IN MULTIFAMILY MARKET SLIPS IN THIRD QUARTER
"We have a serious supply/demand imbalance in the housing market, coupled with a weakening job market, and stringent credit market conditions, and that is negatively impacting the multifamily sector," said David Seiders, NAHB's Chief Economist.
The component of the MRMI that gauges supply was dramatically lower for both market-rate and affordable apartments, standing at 22.2 and 15.7 respectively for the third quarter. At the same time last year, the same component stood at 43.8 for market-rate and 44.3 for affordable apartments.
NAHB's Multifamily Market Indexes are derived from a quarterly survey of multifamily builders and developers in which their responses are rated on a scale of 0 to 100, with a rating of 50 generally indicating that the number of positive responses is about the same as the number of negative responses.
The MCMI, which gauges current and expected supply in the condominium market, sank into single-digits for the first time: the index value for current conditions stood at 8.1 in the third quarter, dropping more than five points from 13.5 at the same time last year. Builder confidence in the condo market over the next six months remains low as well: the index tracking this measure fell from 20.8 in the third quarter of 2007 to 9.9 in the third quarter of this year.
Apartment builders are not optimistic about the next six months either--the component tracking expectations for supply for market-rate apartments fell from 47.1 in the third quarter of last year to 19.1 in the third quarter of this year. Affordable housing developers were even more pessimistic: the component of the index tracking their expectations for supply over the next six month slipped to 20.3 in the third quarter of 2008, down from 39.1 at the same time a year ago.
According to David Seiders, even in those markets where the rental apartment demand and supply are in balance - or where demand exceeds supply-- multifamily developers have been unable to get new projects started because of the ongoing credit problems in the capital markets. Since early this year, NAHB has ratcheted down its forecast for multifamily housing starts substantially.
FDIC Bank Takeovers Hurting Home Sales, Builders Report
Home builders with outstanding construction loans are reporting that they are having to stop work on new housing developments and are losing sales as the result of failed banks and thrift institutions being taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).
“Builders with outstanding loans that are placed under FDIC control are frequently unable to contact a decision maker to deal with routine but time-sensitive matters related to loan draws or extensions,” NAHB President and CEO Jerry Howard said in a Nov. 20 letter to FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair.
“Some builders have encountered what seem to be arbitrary criteria on whether or not loans receive continued funding,” Howard added. “Again, these developments are unnecessarily turning good loans into problem assets that will significantly exacerbate the losses that must be absorbed by the FDIC and the building and banking industries.”
Reports of severe financing problems stemming from FDIC bank takeovers have started proliferating among builders in Texas, a part of the country whose housing markets have been performing notably better than the national average.
One builder, for example, complained that he has been unable to receive a draw on his construction loan for more than four weeks and, as a result, has been unable to finish work on homes that have already been sold. He said that there is a possibility that the FDIC will also require another appraisal of his homes, which would cause more delays and further jeopardize the viability of his project.
In his letter, Howard praised the efforts of the FDIC to limit mortgage foreclosures, but noted that housing production loans are now experiencing the same kind of severe stress afflicting the home mortgage credit sector.
“Home builders are having extreme difficulty in obtaining credit for viable projects, and those with outstanding construction and development loans are experiencing intense pressure as the result of requirements for significant additional equity, denials on loan extensions and demands for immediate payment,” he told Bair. “In many cases, performing loans are rendered nonperforming as a result of these actions.”
Howard asked for an opportunity to meet and work with the FDIC to address “this serious and urgent issue.”